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Will Canada's new Prime Minister Mark Carney call a confidence vote before June 15, 2026?
Mark Carney became Canada's Prime Minister in early 2026. Political dynamics in the minority parliament remain uncertain. Will Carney's government face or initiate a formal confidence vote in the House of Commons before June 15, 2026?
68%chance of YES
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Resolves
21 days left
Rules
Resolves YES if a formal confidence vote is held in the Canadian House of Commons before June 15, 2026, as confirmed by official Parliament of Canada records or major Canadian news outlets (CBC, Globe and Mail). Resolves NO otherwise.
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