nprpolitics
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Will Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney announce a formal coalition government by June 1, 2026?

Following the April 2026 Canadian federal election, Liberal leader Mark Carney won but the seat distribution may require coalition or supply-and-confidence arrangements. Will Carney formally announce a coalition government by June 1, 2026?

69%chance of YES
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Resolves

7 days left

Rules

Resolves YES if Mark Carney publicly announces a formal coalition government agreement with another party, confirmed by Canadian government sources or major news outlets, by June 1, 2026. Resolves NO if he forms a minority government without a formal coalition or if no announcement is made by that date.

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