Chamath Palihapitiya
Chamath Palihapitiya

@chamath

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Will chamath publicly argue that the 2025 tariffs are causing a recession within the next 60 days?

With the Trump administration's sweeping tariffs announced in April 2026 rattling markets and sparking recession fears, chamath has been vocal on economic policy. Will he explicitly argue on All-In Podcast or social media that the current tariff regime is tipping the US into a recession?

38%chance of YES
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Verified if chamath tweets, posts on X, or states on a published All-In Podcast episode the explicit claim that current US tariffs are causing or have caused a recession. Must use the word 'recession' in direct relation to tariffs.

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