Chamath Palihapitiya
Chamath Palihapitiya

@chamath

$CHAMATH
$46.52
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Will chamath publicly argue that the US tariffs announced in April 2026 will trigger a recession?

Chamath Palihapitiya has been vocal about macroeconomic policy. With ongoing debates about the impact of US tariff policy on global trade and economic growth, will chamath explicitly argue on All-In Podcast or via social media that current tariff levels will cause or are causing a US recession?

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46%chance of YES
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Resolves

9 days ago

Rules

Resolved YES if chamath tweets, posts on X, or states on a published All-In Podcast episode between April 8 and May 15, 2026 that US tariff policy will trigger or is triggering a recession. Verified via chamath's official X account (@chamath) or the All-In Podcast official YouTube/podcast feed.

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