Chamath Palihapitiya✓

@chamath

$CHAMATH

$46.52

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Will chamath publicly argue that US tariffs will trigger a recession within 12 months?

With the Trump administration's sweeping tariff announcements in early April 2026 roiling global markets, Chamath Palihapitiya has been vocal about macroeconomic risks. Will he explicitly predict or argue that the current tariff regime will cause a US recession within the next 12 months?

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50%chance of YES

Amount

$

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Caldera platform1%

Buys $CHAMATH coin (held until they join)1%

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$0.00

Liquidity

$1.0k

Resolves

4 days ago

Rules

Verified if chamath tweets, posts on X, or states on the All-In Podcast between April 8 and May 20, 2026 that US tariffs will cause or are causing a recession within 12 months. Must be an explicit prediction or strong claim, not a passing comment.

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Fee Breakdown (2%)

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Buys $CHAMATH coin (held until they join)1%

Sells are always free.