Chamath Palihapitiya✓
@chamath
$CHAMATH
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Will chamath publicly argue that US tariffs will trigger a recession within 2026?
With the Trump administration's sweeping tariff announcements in April 2026 roiling global markets, chamath has been vocal about macroeconomic risks. Will he explicitly argue on All-In Podcast or via tweet that the current tariff regime will cause a US recession before the end of 2026?
51%chance of YES
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Verified if chamath tweets, posts on X, or states on a recorded All-In Podcast episode between April 9 and May 31, 2026 that US tariffs will directly cause or have caused a recession in 2026. The statement must use the word 'recession' or equivalent framing.
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