Will Tesla deliver more than 400,000 vehicles in Q1 2026?

Tesla is set to report its Q1 2026 vehicle delivery numbers. Given recent headwinds including brand controversy, increased competition from Chinese EVs, and softer demand signals, will Tesla manage to exceed 400,000 deliveries for the quarter?

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This market has passed its resolve date and is pending resolution by the Caldera team. Check back soon.

41%chance of YES

Amount

Fee Breakdown (2%)

Caldera platform1%

Buys $TESLA coin (held until they join)1%

Sells are always free.

Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.0k

Resolves

39 days ago

Rules

Resolves YES if Tesla's official Q1 2026 delivery report (expected early April 2026) confirms total deliveries exceed 400,000 vehicles. Resolves NO if deliveries are 400,000 or below.