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Will the UK hold a by-election before June 10, 2026 that Labour loses to Reform UK?
Reform UK has been surging in UK polls under Nigel Farage's leadership. Will there be a by-election held before June 10, 2026 in which Reform UK defeats Labour to win the seat?
62%chance of YES
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Fee Breakdown (2%)
Caldera platform1%
Buys $NPRPOLITICS coin (held until they join)1%
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Volume
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.0k
Resolves
16 days left
Rules
Resolves YES if official UK electoral results confirm at least one parliamentary by-election held before June 10, 2026 where Reform UK wins a seat previously held by or contested against Labour. Resolves NO otherwise.
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Fee Breakdown (2%)
Caldera platform1%
Buys $NPRPOLITICS coin (held until they join)1%
Sells are always free.