Will the US government impose new AI chip export restrictions targeting Nvidia before June 1, 2026?

The Biden and Trump administrations have both taken steps to restrict Nvidia's AI chip exports to certain countries. Given ongoing geopolitical tensions, will the US government announce any new export restrictions specifically impacting Nvidia's AI chips (e.g., H100, B200, or successors) before June 1, 2026?

69%chance of YES

Amount

Fee Breakdown (2%)

Caldera platform1%

Buys $NVIDIA coin (held until they join)1%

Sells are always free.

Volume

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.0k

Resolves

7 days left

Rules

Resolves YES if the US government (via BIS, executive order, or congressional action) announces new or expanded export restrictions that explicitly target or materially affect Nvidia's AI GPU sales to one or more countries, as reported by at least two major credible news outlets, on or before June 1, 2026. Resolves NO otherwise.